Italian hospitals will not be able to deal with a high intake of Coronavirus infections, warned a state official. Such a scenario could soon present a threat to state security.
It may well be that 14 days of quarantine are not enough, as there are examples of asymptomatic infections (those who have no visible disease symptoms) who first show symptoms after 24 or 27 days after being infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus.
Therefore, at least 4 weeks of quarantine is a must in order not to risk such cases being released to the population prematurely.
Because the asymptomatic people who carry the virus do not cough or in any way have symptoms, the virus hides in their lungs without activating the immune system.
There are examples of infected cases who had tested negative up to five times when samples are taken in the upper airways, but when samples are taken from the lungs (which is difficult) the virus has nevertheless been there.
An infected person may eventually develop acute pneumonia which may be quite difficult to treat. “The disease has four stages,” Aleksandr Chuchalin, Russia’s top pulmonologist and a member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, explained to RT.
The first stage looks like a relatively harmless cold and lasts between seven and nine days,” he told RT. Stage two means viral and bacterial pneumonia if the disease breaks immune barriers and if the virus is not contained at this second stage, it could further evolve acute respiratory distress syndrome – a life-threatening condition that can only be treated with the help of an artificial respiration unit. Even if patients survive through this stage, they could end up with their immune system suppressed.
“Half of the fatal Coronavirus cases involved people, who remained on artificial respiration for a long time and their alveoli were eventually infected by fungi,” Chuchalin said.
The concern of the Italian national health system is the threat posed to state security. “The contagion curve has grown steadily in recent days,” said Deputy Minister of Health Pierpaolo Sileri. “The very high number of infections must not grow excessively” because “with the increase in places in intensive care” there is a concrete “risk that one will reach the limit”.
The Italian system, explains Matteo Bassetti, director of the Infectious Diseases Clinic of Genoa, is in fact “able to face and mitigate a long wave of new cases” of new Coronavirus, but “not a very high wave”. In short, the virus must be diluted and the contagions contained. Because otherwise a pandemic risks becoming a “threat to state security”.
The WHO has decided to raise the estimated mortality rate for Covid-19 to 3,4 percent. Previously, the organisation reported a 2,0 percent mortality.
Common seasonal flu has a mortality rate of around 0,1 percent. For example, the Public Health Agency reported for the 2016-2017 season: “The proportion of deceased cases increases with increasing age and ranged between 0,05 percent for individuals under the age of 40 and 18 percent for those between 90 and 94 years.”
Authorities in China reported mortality at around 17 percent in January, but have revised the figures down as a larger statistical base was obtained. On February 20, a mortality rate of 3,8 percent was reported; 5,8 percent in Wuhan and 0,7 percent in the rest of China.
Health experts warn that low mortality at the same time means that the infection is more likely to spread.
The dreaded Spanish flu is estimated to have had a mortality rate of 10-20 percent globally, but of those who were diagnosed and thus came under care “only” 2,5 percent died. Still, between 50 and 100 million people died.
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