Skip to Content

Paul Craig Roberts. Photo supplied

The real threat in the Ukraine conflict

I still have forebodings about the manner in which the Kremlin is conducting the Ukrainian operation. There is no doubt that the Russians had to come to the defense of the Donbass republics.

Published: April 28, 2022, 10:03 am

    Having done little other than to provide the republics with some weapons and intelligence, for eight years the Kremlin allowed the Ukrainian shelling of Donbass and the occupation of large areas of the Donbass by Nazi militias, while the US and NATO trained and equipped a large Ukrainian army to subdue the republics. As the year 2022 opened, the republics were faced with an invasion by 100 000 Ukrainian soldiers. The atrocities committed on the population by the Nazi militias would have been severe. The internal sense of shame in Russia could have eroded the ability of Putin’s government to govern effectively.

    As the Kremlin had tolerated so much for eight years with no response other than a fruitless and pointless Minsk Agreement, it is possible that Washington was relying on Putin bringing about his own downfall by accepting yet another provocation, this time a highly shameful one. It seems that Putin himself understood this as he has said repeatedly that he had no alternative but to intervene to prevent the Ukrainian invasion of the Donbass republics.

    That Donbass was the only target of the limited military operation is clear from the fact that Donbass is where the Russian forces and fighting are. The Ukrainian army and Nazi militias have been surrounded in Donbass. There are no Russian troops operating in Western Ukraine.

    Despite Kremlin warnings that countries that hindered its limited military operation would be treated as combatants, the Russians have taken no steps against the NATO countries that have hindered its operation by imposing sanctions and sending weapons to Ukraine. According to some reports, there are even US and NATO military officers and intelligence services helping the Ukrainian forces. The inflows of weapons have forced Russia to widen its limited military operation to Western Ukraine where Russia has used precision weapons to destroy the weapon stockpiles and the means of transporting them. Thus, by sending weapons to Western Ukraine, NATO has forced Russia to expand its operations, thus widening the war.

    The Western weapons come into Ukraine mainly from Poland, and Poland has been in the forefront of those demanding harsher measures, even military intervention, against Russia. Yet Russia has continued to deliver gas to Poland and her other NATO enemies and only cuts them off if they refuse to pay in rubles. Far from treating Poland as a combatant, the Kremlin treats Poland and the rest of her enemies as allies and business partners. It is the confused message that Russia sends, threatening one thing, but doing another, that is rife with peril.

    Such a confused message, like acceptance of provocations, creates opportunity for miscalculation. My concern remains that Russia’s limited, weak or non-existent responses to provocations invites more and worst provocations until a red line is crossed that results in nuclear war. Apparently, the Russians have never read Machiavelli. They had rather be loved than feared.

    The long drawn-out process of flushing out and destroying the Ukrainian forces in Donbass has created the opportunity for mounting provocations of Russia, supported by Western populations under the influence of war propaganda. These provocations can easily result in a widening of the conflict, resulting in more forceful actions against Russia until the situation explodes.

    To prevent a drawn-out process rife with opportunities to pile provocation on provocation is the reason I have thought that Russia needed to act decisively and quickly bring the conflict to an end. It is this failure that is the real threat in the Ukraine conflict. By trying to save a few Ukrainian lives, Russia might be endangering the lives of hundreds of millions.

    opinion@freewestmedia.com

    Consider donating to support our work

    Help us to produce more articles like this. FreeWestMedia is depending on donations from our readers to keep going. With your help, we expose the mainstream fake news agenda.

    Keep ​your language polite​. Readers from many different countries visit and contribute to Free West Media and we must therefore obey the rules in​,​ for example​, ​Germany. Illegal content will be deleted.

    If you have been approved to post comments without preview from FWM, you are responsible for violation​s​ of​ any​ law. This means that FWM may be forced to cooperate with authorities in a possible crime investigation.

    If your comments are subject to preview ​by FWM, please be patient. We continually review comments but depending on the time of day it can take up to several hours before your comment is reviewed.

    We reserve the right to del​ete​ comments that are offensive, contain slander or foul language, or are irrelevant to the discussion.

    • KILL A GLOBALIST @FEEDING.TIME

      The greatest danger are the GLOBALISTS who are behind this… they are the instigators and the American criminally installed junta are aiding and abetting this global cabal. A Russian “Cuban crisis’ was engineered to poke the Bear. I can remember Putins reaction to the globalists venture… the NWO… it was …. F.O. Not so plainly put but the insinuation was there.

    Opinion

    A country without an honest media is lost

    For some time I have reported to you that in place of a media, a media that our founding fathers relied on to protect our society, the United States has had a propaganda ministry whose sole purpose is to destroy our society.

    Sweden’s decaying democracy

    A journalist is arrested and dragged out of the Gothenburg Book Fair because he politely asked a powerful politician... the wrong questions about his support for the ethnically-cleansed Zimbabwean dictatorship. Not only journalists, but academics and bloggers are being hounded by the leftist establishment daily. And the leftists have all the nasty instruments of the state at their disposal. Citizen reporter Fabian Fjälling looks into their excesses.

    The geopolitical future of Nordic countries

    Between unity and disunity, independence and foreign interference: Nordic countries have to either choose between creating an independent neutral block in the North, or seeing the region being divided between the great powers.

    Russian, Chinese intelligence: ISIS heading for Central Asia with US cover

    Operatives of the crumbling Islamic State in Syria and Iraq (ISIS) are moving to new battlegrounds near the Russian border, intelligence sources have revealed.

    The unraveling of US/Russian relations

    Washington has taken nuclear war against Russia from a hypothetical scenario to a real danger that threatens the future of humanity. 

    Hero commander killed in Syria – when the war is nearly won

    For most Syrians it came as a shock: One of the most popular military commanders of the Syrian Arab Army, Issam Zahreddine, was killed on 18 October 2017.

    What Is The Obama Regime Up To?

    Obama has announced new sanctions on Russia based on unsubstantiated charges by the CIA.

    Kevork Almassian: Aleppo resisted and triumphed

    OPINIONEven the Western Mainstream Media couldn’t hide the celebrations and the joy of the civilians in Aleppo, who expressed their gratitude to the Syrian Army and Russia.

    Lebanon’s new president: Michel Aoun

    COMMENT

    Ukrainian Terror and Donbass referendum: What we can learn from the latest events in Donetsk

    OPINIONThe assassination of Donbass field commander Arsen “Motorola” Pavlov on October 16 can be seen as a new escalation of the war scenario in former Eastern Ukraine. The successful elimination of one of the most popular commanders of the independence war of Donbass brought that geopolitical hotspot – despite the events in Syria´s Aleppo – back in Western mainstream media.

    Go to archive