Here is the latest control-of-terrain map for #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine from @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats. The biggest changes in control over the past 24 hours have been Russian advances near key frontline neighborhoods in the northern and western #Kyiv outskirts. pic.twitter.com/EWRuCH8Aib
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) March 8, 2022
The military situation in the Ukraine on March 8, was outlined by Deutsche Militärzeitschrift (DMZ) military expert Hagen Eichberger in an interview with German weekly Zuerst!
Russian offensives on Kiev, Kharkov and Mariupol show the tactical route of the Kremlin, which seems to want to control the approaches to the Black and Azov Seas in the south, establish the land bridge to the Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts and occupy large parts of eastern Ukraine.
Ukraine’s armed forces face a difficult choice. In the next few days, Russia’s armed forces will be sufficiently assembled to advance in masses towards Kiev. So far, Russian troops have been stationed in suburbs to the north, north-west and north-east of the city, and units from the east have been advancing on the capital since Monday.
Currently, three Ukrainian brigades maintain a westbound axis of communication, which is central to the supply lines to Lviv. “From a tactical point of view, Russia will try to block the routes to Kiev on all sides, but strategically the most important will be the blocking of the western approaches to the capital. If Moscow manages to cut this vein, military and other everyday goods can no longer move,” Eichberger explained.
In the south of the capital, Ukrainian forces are also currently holding a number of tactically important points that would allow troops to be withdrawn from south-eastern Ukraine and transferred to the capital for reinforcements before the Russians manage to close the pocket. While Russian sources report that the main Ukrainian army is surrounded in the east of Ukraine, Western sources assume that the main part of the Ukrainian ground forces is in the south-east and could therefore still be withdrawn to Kiev.
These Ukrainian troops are “currently forming a line along the separatist areas and the newly occupied area on the Black Sea coast up to the Crimea. If this mechanism is weakened, the remaining brigades come under additional pressure. Russian attacks are possible from the north (Kharkiv), east (Luhansk, Donetsk) and south (Crimea). This could mean that the Ukrainian troops in the south-east could get trapped – and be at the mercy of the enemy. In this way, the Kremlin would come a step closer to smashing the Ukrainian army, one of the goals of the war, with relatively little effort,” according to NZZ.
The Ukrainian army command is therefore faced with the painful decision to join forces for the supposed battle for Kiev, but in doing so it would give up the east and the south.
Russian Armed Forces were inside Brovary City, on Wednesday, March 9. If this city falls, it means that the Russian Armed Force can advance directly towards the eastern suburbs of Kiev.
US military analysts assume that both Russia and Ukraine still have the bulk of their combined fighting strength in Ukraine.
2 comments
Ukraine is turning into the monkey holding a grenade…
Trending in China today:
https://twitter.com/CarlZha/status/1501434265195585541?s=20&t=tTshxtrKbaZRkoL90uh1tA
“Ukrainian information sources report that the General Staff of Ukraine decided not to release the grouping of the eastern front, which held back the troops of the LDNR. And the main forces of the reserve of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be directed to strengthening the defense of Odessa, Kyiv and Kharkov.
At the moment, the eastern group is under the threat of complete encirclement (if not already encircled). As far as we know, these are the most combat-ready units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which were planned to be thrown into the LDNR according to the plan of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Apparently, in Kyiv there are no special hopes associated with this grouping, given the general situation.
Earlier, there was also information that the Armed Forces of Ukraine had a big shortage of personnel and the defense forces would help the military registration and enlistment offices and deliver men to the military registration and enlistment offices, who would be found in shops, on the streets, etc.
Everything indicates that Kyiv will create pockets of resistance in various cities that are already under the control of the RF Armed Forces and keep the defense in large cities (Kyiv, Kharkov, Odessa, Dnipro). They are no longer interested in the Eastern Front as such, the only task is for it to hold out a little longer than it is destined to and exhaust the RF Armed Forces as much as it is capable of. All Kiev’s calls for resistance of the population, rallies, chaotic distribution of weapons, Molotov cocktails – this is all a designer of creating chaos in settlements, which:
1. Will cause great casualties among the civilian population;
2. It will become the focus of the beginning of partisan resistance;
3. Lead to the Syrian and Afghan scenario.
The fall of large cities will cause demoralization both in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and among the civilian population, which will lead to complete collapse. Therefore, the entire negotiation process, various humanitarian corridors, their obligatory disruptions, etc. are aimed at one thing – delaying time, transferring hostilities into a long one. Who is the beneficiary of this scenario, we have already said many times. Cities will be kept at the expense of the civilian population, which will prevent harsh sweeps and air strikes by the RF Armed Forces, no one will get rid of the shield in the form of civilians in Kharkov, Kyiv, Odessa, Mariupol – as soon as the civilian population or most of it leaves the city, there will be a cleansing and the fall of the city will be a matter of a short period of time. Therefore, humanitarian corridors will continue to be disrupted, and if civilians pass through them,
And the time spent on organizing humanitarian corridors, negotiations, suspension due to a ceasefire, and so on, will be used to delay the advance of the RF Armed Forces and create stronger defensive nodes in large cities.
Ukraine is a tool with which a European Afghanistan is being created next to Russia. Eastern Ukraine, together with its population, is already an instrument of Kyiv, with the help of which the plan to create a European Afghanistan is being implemented.”
https://t.me/s/togarma301
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