Skip to Content

Spanish sculpture of Jesus of Nazareth. Pixabay

Spaniards told that ‘immigrants will pay their pensions’

Population decline in Spain in recent years as a result of low birth rates have triggered alarms. How will future pensions be paid if this trend continues?

Published: October 5, 2018, 4:04 pm

    Read more

    Madrid

    Demographic behavior of recent years has been strongly influenced by the economic crisis, but according to the Independent Authority of Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF), far from losing population, Spain’s demography will actually continue to increase in the coming decades thanks to the increase in fertility and, especially, thanks to immigration.

    Migrants will provide between 7 and 10 million more people in the country by 2050 .

    The AIReF considers that the total population of Spain will increase by between 4 and 13 million people in 30 years, so that Spaniards will number between 51 and 60 million people in 2050. Immigration will be fundamental to maintain this population gain they say.

    The Fiscal Authority considers that Spain will continue to attract migratory flows since it will have labour needs and higher incomes than that of the countries of origin – especially Latin America and Africa.

    This will allow for about 270 000 immigrants per year to arrive in Spain. This means that immigration will contribute eight million inhabitants in the next three decades  – estimates range between 7 and 10 million.

    As a result, the weight of immigrants over the total population will increase dramatically. In the coming decades, the government’s demographers says it will be a “great help to the financing of pensions”.

    According to its forecasts, Spain will maintain more than 30 million inhabitants of working age. Without an accelerated deterioration of the country’s economy, there is no reason to believe that the demand for labour will plummet in the coming decades as INE projects.

    But this arrival of immigrants will not prevent the dependency rate in Spain from doubling, to around 50 percent in 2050: that is, one retiree for every two people of working age.

    Spain is the country with the most generous pensions facing the biggest future crisis. AIReF considers that the forecasts of more pessimistic migratory flows  – such as those of the INE and Eurostat – are wrong, since the aging of the population increase the demand for foreign labour.

    Immigration will improve the economy and, in addition, help to pay pensions as the number of children per woman will change from the current environment of 1.4 children to the area of ​​2 children per woman by 2050.

    AIReF also estimates that the birth rate will improve in the coming years, which will also help improve demographic forecasts. Spain is among the countries with the worst birth data, partly as a result of the severe economic crisis of the last decade.

    The average age of Spaniards is 44 years old and in three provinces it is over 50 years old.

    According to AIReF estimates, life expectancy at birth will increase to 87 years in 2050 from 83 years now, a forecast that is in line with those prepared by the INE and Eurostat.

    But a Harvard University study has highlighted that the Islamisation of a country cannot be stopped once the Muslim population reaches 16 percent of the total population.

    Islam expert, Nikoletta Incze, told Hungarian public television, that many so-called Muslim countries represent populations today which were converted by force. Incze is a researcher in the US at the Centre for the Study of Political Islam.

    Keep ​your language polite​. Readers from many different countries visit and contribute to Free West Media and we must therefore obey the rules in​,​ for example​, ​Germany. Illegal content will be deleted.

    If you have been approved to post comments without preview from FWM, you are responsible for violation​s​ of​ any​ law. This means that FWM may be forced to cooperate with authorities in a possible crime investigation.

    If your comments are subject to preview ​by FWM, please be patient. We continually review comments but depending on the time of day it can take up to several hours before your comment is reviewed.

    We reserve the right to del​ete​ comments that are offensive, contain slander or foul language, or are irrelevant to the discussion.

    Europe

    French Interior Ministry orders 40 000 new grenades

    ParisPlace Beauvau has ordered 40 000 new grenades for law enforcement after a tender was launched in August 2018, but the timing of the arrival of this "A2 category war material" is most unfortunate.

    German court allows jihadist criminal of 14 years to walk free

    DuesseldorfAn Islamic criminal, who has been in Germany for 14 years, remains at liberty despite a breach of his residence obligations, according to a Düsseldorf District Court.

    Salvini announces budget cuts for pro-migration associations

    RomeThe leftist funding party in Italy is coming to an end, after the announcement by Italian Interior Minister Matteo Salvini that a series of budgetary cuts will be aimed at migrant aid associations.

    Wilders calls for parliamentary enquiry into political meddling in his trail

    The HaguePVV leader Geert Wilders has called for a parliamentary inquiry into political interference in his trial in which he is being accused of "discrimination and inciting hatred" against people with a Moroccan background.

    Orban and Aung San Suu Kyi meet to discuss illegal immigration

    BudapestHungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban met with Myanmar’s State Counsellor, San Suu Kyi, to focus on illegal Islamic migration. The two held talks in Budapest on Wednesday in the Prime Minister’s Office.

    Act XXX: Yellow Vest numbers on the rise

    MontpellierOn Saturday, June 8, some 10 300 Yellow Vests mobilized throughout France, according to the Ministry of Interior, more than last week.

    German biologist faces court after linking gays to pedophilia

    KasselThe evolutionary biologist Ulrich Kutschera is facing German justice because of remarks he made scientifically linking homosexuality to pedophilia.

    French priest to be charged for singing anti-Macron songs

    The French prefect of Eure - a department in the north of France named after the river Eure - claims to have demanded that the prosecutor of the Republic step in after a priest sang an anti-Macron song.

    Hungary turns down Salvini offer to join EP ‘supergroup’

    BudapestHungary will not join Italian Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini in the European Parliament, according to Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s chief of staff Gergely Gulyas.

    Malaysian PM says ‘no evidence’ that Russia shot down MH17

    TokyoThe Malaysian government says it has seen no conclusive evidence that Russia was responsible for the Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 tragedy in 2014, according to Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad.

    Go to archive