Skip to Content

Spanish sculpture of Jesus of Nazareth. Pixabay

Spaniards told that ‘immigrants will pay their pensions’

Population decline in Spain in recent years as a result of low birth rates have triggered alarms. How will future pensions be paid if this trend continues?

Published: October 5, 2018, 4:04 pm

    Read more

    Madrid

    Demographic behavior of recent years has been strongly influenced by the economic crisis, but according to the Independent Authority of Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF), far from losing population, Spain’s demography will actually continue to increase in the coming decades thanks to the increase in fertility and, especially, thanks to immigration.

    Migrants will provide between 7 and 10 million more people in the country by 2050 .

    The AIReF considers that the total population of Spain will increase by between 4 and 13 million people in 30 years, so that Spaniards will number between 51 and 60 million people in 2050. Immigration will be fundamental to maintain this population gain they say.

    The Fiscal Authority considers that Spain will continue to attract migratory flows since it will have labour needs and higher incomes than that of the countries of origin – especially Latin America and Africa.

    This will allow for about 270 000 immigrants per year to arrive in Spain. This means that immigration will contribute eight million inhabitants in the next three decades  – estimates range between 7 and 10 million.

    As a result, the weight of immigrants over the total population will increase dramatically. In the coming decades, the government’s demographers says it will be a “great help to the financing of pensions”.

    According to its forecasts, Spain will maintain more than 30 million inhabitants of working age. Without an accelerated deterioration of the country’s economy, there is no reason to believe that the demand for labour will plummet in the coming decades as INE projects.

    But this arrival of immigrants will not prevent the dependency rate in Spain from doubling, to around 50 percent in 2050: that is, one retiree for every two people of working age.

    Spain is the country with the most generous pensions facing the biggest future crisis. AIReF considers that the forecasts of more pessimistic migratory flows  – such as those of the INE and Eurostat – are wrong, since the aging of the population increase the demand for foreign labour.

    Immigration will improve the economy and, in addition, help to pay pensions as the number of children per woman will change from the current environment of 1.4 children to the area of ​​2 children per woman by 2050.

    AIReF also estimates that the birth rate will improve in the coming years, which will also help improve demographic forecasts. Spain is among the countries with the worst birth data, partly as a result of the severe economic crisis of the last decade.

    The average age of Spaniards is 44 years old and in three provinces it is over 50 years old.

    According to AIReF estimates, life expectancy at birth will increase to 87 years in 2050 from 83 years now, a forecast that is in line with those prepared by the INE and Eurostat.

    But a Harvard University study has highlighted that the Islamisation of a country cannot be stopped once the Muslim population reaches 16 percent of the total population.

    Islam expert, Nikoletta Incze, told Hungarian public television, that many so-called Muslim countries represent populations today which were converted by force. Incze is a researcher in the US at the Centre for the Study of Political Islam.

    Keep ​your language polite​. Readers from many different countries visit and contribute to Free West Media and we must therefore obey the rules in​,​ for example​, ​Germany. Illegal content will be deleted.

    If you have been approved to post comments without preview from FWM, you are responsible for violation​s​ of​ any​ law. This means that FWM may be forced to cooperate with authorities in a possible crime investigation.

    If your comments are subject to preview ​by FWM, please be patient. We continually review comments but depending on the time of day it can take up to several hours before your comment is reviewed.

    We reserve the right to del​ete​ comments that are offensive, contain slander or foul language, or are irrelevant to the discussion.

    Europe

    Crash of print media in Germany continues

    The crash of print media in Germany continues. More than 80 percent of major titles lost buyers in the fourth quarter of 2018. Top titles lost readers in the double-digit percentage range. 

    ‘Soros is practically dictating Brussels’ migration policy’

    Brussels“The European Parliament’s fresh decision to increase funding for ‘Soros groups’ once again makes it clear that George Soros is practically dictating Brussels’ migration policy,” ruling Fidesz’s communications chief said on Thursday.

    Merkel’s union open to gender quotas in Bundestag

    BerlinMerkel's party is now aiming to increase gender quotas. Their blind spot to leftist violence has not changed however.

    German secret service moves against AfD

    BerlinThe Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution - as the secret service is called in Germany - has classified the AfD as a so-called "suspect case".

    Le Pen’s RN abandons Frexit as AfD gets ready to embrace Dexit

    The head of the list for Marine Le Pen's party in the European elections, Jordan Bardella, ruled out the notion of a Frexit, suggesting that perhaps it was no longer so desirable in an "evolving" Europe.

    Marine Le Pen launches her campaign for the European election

    ParisOn Sunday, Marine Le Pen launched her campaign for the May 26 European Parliament election with an appeal to the Yellow Vest movement in a bid to pressure beleaguered President Emmanuel Macron. She said: ”The battle is now between nationalists and globalists.”

    Act IX: Yellow Vests numbers on the rise

    ParisYellow Vest mobilization is on the rise, with 84 000 demonstrators counted by the Ministry of the Interior this weekend in Act IX of the French movement. Many clashes between protesters and law enforcement broke out, and more than a hundred arrests took place in Paris.

    Germany aims at UN Security Council seat

    New YorkThe new friendship agreement between Germany and France will, according to a statement of the German Federal Government, contain a point confirming the support of the idea of ​​a permanent seat for Germany in the UN Security Council.

    Leftist mayors rebel against Salvini’s migration security decree

    RomeItalian Interior Minister Matteo Salvini insisted on Friday that his migrant and security decree was a State law that must be respected. Salvini is facing a rebellion from leftist mayors who benefit from funding for migrants.

    French fake news spread after arrest of top Yellow Vest

    ParisAccording to fake news, the arrested leader of the Yellow Vests Eric Drouet voted for the National Front in the presidential election of 2017. It appears to be an attempt by the government to split the movement.

    Go to archive