Skip to Content

Shock German Army report suggests collapse of Western alliance by 2040

The Bundeswehr believes that the end of the West over the next few decades may be possible. This is according to information from Der Spiegel gained from a perspective for 2040, which was adopted at the end of February by the head of the Ministry of Defense.

Published: November 7, 2017, 7:37 am

    For the first time in its history, the Bundeswehr’s 102-page document – kept under wraps – shows how social trends and international conflicts could influence future German security policy.

    The report called “Strategic Forecast 2040” was published by the head of the Ministry of Defence at the end of February this year but was kept secret. It has now been seen by the German weekly newspaper Der Spiegel.

    The confidential report outlines six scenarios for how social trends and international conflicts are likely to play out and influence German security. It includes a worst-case scenario in which the EU unravels and Germany is forced into a “reactive mode”.

    The study sets the framework in which the Bundeswehr is likely to encounter challenges, but the paper does not provide estimates for equipment and strength. While the document expressly makes no prognosis, all scenarios are “plausible with the 2040 time horizon,” the authors maintain.

    The simulations were developed by scientists of the Federal Armed Forces Planning Office.

    In one of the six scenarios “The EU in Disintegration and Germany in Reactive Mode”, the authors assume a “multiple confrontations”. The future projection describes a world in which the international order erodes after “decades of instability”, the value systems worldwide diverge and globalisation comes to an end.

    “The EU enlargement has been largely abandoned, other states have left the community Europe has lost its global competitiveness,” the Bundeswehr strategists state. “The increasingly disorderly, sometimes chaotic and conflict-prone world has dramatically changed the security environment of Germany and Europe.”

    In the fifth scenario “West to the East”, some eastern EU countries are no longer interested in pursuing European integration while others have “joined the Eastern bloc”.

    In the fourth scenario “Multipolar competition”, extremism is on the rise and there are EU partners who “even occasionally seem to seek a specific approach to Russia’s” state capitalist model “.

    Last year, billionaire financier George Soros said Brexit had made an eventual dissolution of the 28 member bloc “practically irreversible”.

    “The consequences for the real economy [from Brexit] will be comparable only to the financial crisis of 2007-2008,” wrote the billionaire, adding that a domino effect could potentially end decades of continental unification.

    “But the implications for Europe could be far worse,” Soros cautioned. “Tensions among member states have reached a breaking point, not only over refugees, but also as a result of exceptional strains between creditor and debtor countries within the euro zone.”

    Meanwhile, in a secret report leaked in October, NATO warned that it may not be prepared to confront a hypothetical “Russian attack”. Senior military officers expressed a wish to see a return to the command structures used by the alliance during the Cold War.

    But hardly anyone believes that Russia might attack a NATO member state.

    In early October, however, high-ranking military representatives from the US informally asked their German counterparts if the Bundeswehr, would be interested in applying to host a new NATO facility.

     

     

     

    All rights reserved. You have permission to quote freely from the articles provided that the source (www.freewestmedia.com) is given. Photos may not be used without our consent.

    Consider donating to support our work

    Help us to produce more articles like this. FreeWestMedia is depending on donations from our readers to keep going. With your help, we expose the mainstream fake news agenda.

    Keep ​your language polite​. Readers from many different countries visit and contribute to Free West Media and we must therefore obey the rules in​,​ for example​, ​Germany. Illegal content will be deleted.

    If you have been approved to post comments without preview from FWM, you are responsible for violation​s​ of​ any​ law. This means that FWM may be forced to cooperate with authorities in a possible crime investigation.

    If your comments are subject to preview ​by FWM, please be patient. We continually review comments but depending on the time of day it can take up to several hours before your comment is reviewed.

    We reserve the right to del​ete​ comments that are offensive, contain slander or foul language, or are irrelevant to the discussion.

    Europe
    Albert Bourla (l.) has close ties to Ursula von der Leyen (center). YouTube screenshot

    The Ursula von der Leyen Affair

    After a criminal complaint in Belgium against the President of the European Commission, the so-called SMS-case, now takes a new turn. The judge responsible for the investigation will likely gain access to the secret messages exchanged between Ursula von der Leyen and Albert Bourla, CEO of Pfizer, at least if they haven't been deleted.

    Daniel Friberg, founder of the publishing house Arktos, tells Nya Tider that they intend to counter censorship by starting new ventures, including an online cultural magazine and an online university. Photo: Arktos

    Publisher of Unique Literature Worldwide Blocked by International Distributor

    Arktos has distinguished itself by publishing groundbreaking philosophers and social critics. Now, the publisher's international distributor has abruptly terminated the cooperation, and more than 400 already printed titles cannot reach their audience. There is strong evidence that the distributor has been under pressure, something that has also happened in Sweden. We have spoken with Arktos founder Daniel Friberg about the ongoing struggle for freedom of speech in a shrinking cultural corridor.

    Cardinal Anders Arborelius, Bishop of Stockholm, is one of the Catholic bishops who signed the letter, which was read out in churches throughout Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and Iceland over the Easter weekend. Photo: The Catholic Church

    Care prompts bishops to criticize transgender ideology

    The Catholic bishops of the Scandinavian countries presented an open five-page letter criticizing transgender ideology on March 21, just before Easter. The document primarily expresses care and advice and was read aloud in Catholic churches in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, and Iceland. Cardinal Anders Arborelius, Bishop of Stockholm, is one of the signatories of the document.

    FREEZING IN THEIR HOMES is the new grim reality for many Brits and Northern Europeans. Margaret is 92 years old and has just come in from the winter cold, but no warmth awaits her at home. She fears her own home more than the icy streets. Next to her are four thick blankets, and on the shelf above the fireplace, which she can no longer afford to buy wood for, is a meter showing the daily cost of electricity (inset). It shows £1.03, about 13 SEK. When it reaches £3, about 38 SEK, she is forced to turn off the little heat she has to afford it. Still image: ITW News

    Brits Forced to Live in Darkness and Cold

    Food prices are rising at a furious pace, fastest in Scotland in almost half a century. At the same time, energy prices are at record highs. People are forced to choose between freezing or going hungry, and a majority of Scots are forced to live in cold and darkness to cope with bills. Old generations' tricks for saving and keeping warm are returning. Nevertheless, it is feared that 10,000 Brits will die of cold homes this winter. We present the Swedish Public Health Agency's guidelines on indoor temperature. Governments in Europe are introducing rationing and monitoring of food purchases. Net-zero emissions are a lie that, in practice, de-industrializes the West and dramatically lowers our standard of living.

    Thousands of Flemish farmers block roads in Brussels against nitrogen policy

    BrusselsMore than 2500 farmers from Belgium's Dutch-speaking Flanders region gathered at Brussels' central Arts-Loi street and blocked roads with tractors toward Brussels to protest the regional government's plan to limit nitrogen emissions.

    Orban: EU energy sanctions costing citizens billions

    BudapestHungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has warned that some western states could soon send troops to Ukraine. He also criticized the fact that the EU sanctions against Russia had cost Hungarian taxpayers tens of billions of euros.

    Italy: New leader of the Social Democrats is one of Soros’ ‘preferred politicians’

    RomeDuring the election campaign, Elly Schlein presented herself as the standard-bearer of the poorest. However, her background and previous work raise doubts about her honesty.

    UK greenhouses shut down due to high energy costs

    LondonIn Great Britain, a particularly depressing facet of the crisis is now showing its first contours - and thus anticipating what is likely to happen in other European countries in the near future: because of the exploding energy prices, agriculture is being strangled and fresh produce has to be rationed.

    Lisbon opens borders to all Portuguese speakers

    LisbonNot only the German and Italian governments keep opening new paths for immigration. Portugal, too, has opened a Pandora's box and is paving the way for possibly millions of non-European immigrants to the EU – something which is not mentioned by the mainstream media.

    Illegal immigration to Italy has reached its highest level ever

    RomeIn Italy, despite the overwhelming right-wing electoral success in September, there is still nothing to be seen of the promised asylum turnaround – on the contrary. Giorgia Meloni has been in office for five months, but the arrivals of migrants in Italy have doubled compared to the previous year.

    Go to archive