Skip to Content

Migrants; Cartoon by Horsey, LA Times, 2015

A Muslim majority in 30 years?

Even if all current 28 EU members, plus Norway and Switzerland, closed their borders to migrants, the Islamic population will continue to expand. Moreover, the fastest-breeding demographic group in Europe is also the most resistant to European democracy.

Published: December 13, 2017, 9:43 am

    Read more

    New projections by the Washington-based Pew Research Center foretell that if the current wave of immigrants persists, in thirty years Europe’s Muslim population will triple.

    If high migration continues, the Muslim share of Germany’s population, could grow from 6 percent in 2016 to almost 20 percent by 2050.

    According to Pew’s data, Muslims made up 4.9 percent of Europe’s population in 2016, with 25.8 million people across 30 countries, up from 19.5 million people in 2010. It represents an increase of six million in seven years.

    Pew’s researchers proposed three scenarios: “zero migration” between 2016 and 2050; “medium migration”, in which the flow of refugees stops but people continue to migrate for other reasons; and “high migration”, in which the flow of migrants between 2014 and 2016 continues.

    The “medium” and “high” projections in Pew’s scenarios were chilling, but even with borders sealed off completely, the scenario looks bleak for major European cities, where the Muslim communities are currently based. London, Marseille, Stockholm, Brussels, Amsterdam, Antwerp and Birmingham already have Muslim majorities.

    In the medium migration scenario, considered by Pew “the most likely”, Sweden would have the biggest share of the new population at 20.5 percent. The UK’s share would rise to 16.7 percent, and there will be similar percentages also in Belgium (15 percent) to France (17.4 percent). If high migration continues until 2050, Sweden’s Muslim share will grow to 30.6 percent, Finland’s to 15 percent, Norway’s to 17 percent, France’s to 18 percent, Belgium’s to 18.2 percent and Austria’s to 19.9 percent.

    French demographer Jean-Claude Chesnais in his book Le Crépuscule de l’Occident predicted an opulent but sterile continent, one in which population is characterized by death, not birth. According to the national statistics agency Istat, fewer than 474 000 births were registered in Italy last year, down 12000 from the year before, with an even bigger drop from the 577 000 born in 2008.

    Italy has “lost” 100 000 births in ten years. The loss has been called “the great Eurosion” with the old continent busy “frailing”.

    “If tomorrow there were 20, 30 million French Muslims determined to veil their wives and to apply the laws of Sharia, we could only preserve the minimal rules of secularism by dictatorship. That’s what Atatürk, Bourguiba or even Nasser understood in their day” says Chesnais.

    The projections will impact freedom of expression, separation of church and state, freedom of conscience, rule of law and equality between men and women even though the mainstream media and analysts continue to claim warnings of “Eurabia” are “alarmist” and “racist”. As a Newsweek cover recently stated: “Dispelling the myth of Eurabia”.

    Considering what Europe witnessed in the last few years under terrorism and multiculturalism, the next thirty years could be worse, and not many have had the courage to sound an alarm.

    The British Arabist scholar, Bernard Lewis, sent out a warning more than a decade ago that Europe would turn Muslim by the end of this century, and dissolve into “part of the Arab West, the Maghreb”.

    Also the late scholar Fouad Ajami cautioned that “Europe is host to a war between order and its enemies, fueled by demography”; and the Italian writer Oriana Fallaci imagined a continent with “the minarets in place of the bell-towers, with the burka in place of the mini-skirt”. Commentator Mark Steyn warned that “the future belonged to Islam” with an “enfeebled” West in a “semi Islamified Europe”.

    Ten years later, Europe opened its borders to a massive flood of migrants from North Africa and the Middle East, and the demographers have reviewed their assessments.

    Consider donating to support our work

    Help us to produce more articles like this. FreeWestMedia is depending on donations from our readers to keep going. With your help, we expose the mainstream fake news agenda.

    Keep ​your language polite​. Readers from many different countries visit and contribute to Free West Media and we must therefore obey the rules in​,​ for example​, ​Germany. Illegal content will be deleted.

    If you have been approved to post comments without preview from FWM, you are responsible for violation​s​ of​ any​ law. This means that FWM may be forced to cooperate with authorities in a possible crime investigation.

    If your comments are subject to preview ​by FWM, please be patient. We continually review comments but depending on the time of day it can take up to several hours before your comment is reviewed.

    We reserve the right to del​ete​ comments that are offensive, contain slander or foul language, or are irrelevant to the discussion.


    French unions announce more marches after Tuesday’s success

    ParisFollowing the second day of mass mobilisation against the Macron administration's pension reform, the unions have announced new social movements on 7 and 11 February.

    Orban: ‘The current political system in Europe will collapse’

    BudapestIn an interview with the Austrian daily eXXpress, Viktor Orban, Hungary's Prime Minister said he was convinced that the current political system in Europe would collapse within this decade.

    German FM ‘accidentally’ declares war on Russia, riles Africa

    StrasbourgThe “accidental” declaration of war on Russia by German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock (Green Party) has stirred up the political classes. Moscow sees evidence that the EU states are "direct warring parties" and the Kremlin has demanded an explanation.

    Hungarian opposition: More illegal US funds than previously known

    BudapestThe result of parliamentary elections in Hungary in April 2022 has been the bane of the opposition. The defeated movement around Péter Márki-Zay received illegal funds from the US on a larger scale than previously thought, according to a recently declassified intel report. Most media outlets have been silent about it.

    WHO introduces a global patient file

    GenevaThe WHO has introduced a global patient file with the vaccinated and unvaccinated to be codified in future.

    Macron deputy consumes cocaine but justice system closes investigation

    ParisAn investigation by Médiapart revealed that the Renaissance deputy of Hauts-de-Seine Emmanuel Pellerin used cocaine, before as well as after his election.

    Sweden’s NATO membership bid goes up in smoke

    StockholmAfter the burning of the Quran in Stockholm, Turkey has no intention of allowing Sweden to join NATO. Sweden's Prime Minister, on the other hand, pointed to the importance of freedom of expression. The NATO Secretary General also spoke up on the matter.

    Internal EU report: Asylum applications has increased by half except in Hungary

    BerlinThe asylum disaster continues unabated in 2023. According to a confidential "Status Report on Migration and Refugees" by the EU Commission dated January 11, the number of asylum applications in the EU rose by around half in the past year to well over 900 000.

    French pension reform: 150 000 young demonstrators according to organisers

    ParisSome 150 000 students marched in Paris on January 21 against pension reform, according to the youth organisations that initiated the demonstration, but only 14 000 according to sources close to the Macron administration.

    Corruption thriller: Zelensky’s deputy minister arrested

    KievJust 14 days after the President of the Ukrainian National Bank (who is said to have embezzled 5,42 million euros) applied for asylum in Austria, Deputy Minister Wassyl Losynsky was arrested.  

    Go to archive