‘Western elites will not survive the Ukraine conflict’
In a recent interview, the Russian geopolitician and long-time presidential adviser Sergei Karaganov made a comprehensive assessment of the Ukraine conflict and also spoke about possible future scenarios.
Published: August 13, 2022, 3:54 pm
The conversation with the New York Times can be seen as a follow-up to an April 2022 interview in the UK weekly the New Statesman and another in June in the Italian geopolitical magazine Limes.
Karaganov interpreted the war in Ukraine as the result of the creeping “relationship escalation” between NATO and Russia. He said he had anticipated the danger of war long before and warned against it. However, the Russian leadership was convinced that the political West would soon collapse, due to economic weaknesses as well as a general political and moral decline. Basically, the new Cold War began more than a decade ago and thus even before Euromaidan in Ukraine in 2014.
Western elites sought to halt Ukraine’s continuing decline by naming Ukraine as a launching pad aimed to strike “at the heart of Russia”. The conflict was inevitable from Moscow’s point of view, which is why Russia made the decision to strike first.
People no longer trust their leaders in the West
In view of the numerous crises and the desperate situation of the Western leadership elite, the reactions of the West were foreseeable, according to Karaganov. Ultimately, the current military conflict is not about Ukraine. Rather, the conflict is downright existential for the Western elites, who are increasingly losing the trust of their own people.
The current ruling Western elite will not survive this conflict, predicted Karaganov. Nonetheless, most western states, having shed the “liberal globalist imperialism” imposed on them in the late 1980s, would certainly thrive again.
In view of the political, economic and moral decline of the West, Russia would be well advised to keep its distance for the next decade or two. After a partial change of elite in the West, however, relations are likely to return to normal. In no way is Russia pursuing the suicidal decision to isolate itself from the rest of the world. Rather, the world is in the process of finally freeing itself from Western hegemony and can only gain from it in doing so.
Cancel culture is to blame
According to Karaganov, the international pivot away from Russia is closely related to the phenomenon of the so-called “cancel culture”. Russian culture, indeed everything Russian, falls victim to that fateful movement in the West. However, this is a fundamental problem of the West, which is also busy “cancelling” its own history, its own culture and Christian morals and values. Ultimately, however, the aggressive Western policy also has advantages – it has helped to cleanse Russian society and the elites of the “remnants of pro-Western elements”.
In contrast to the West, Russia has still been able to preserve freedom of thought and intellectual discussion. In any case, phenomena such as cancel culture or “overwhelming political correctness” cannot be found in the Russian Federation. Russia is also not shutting itself off from European culture; on the contrary, it will remain one of the few places in the future that preserve the treasure of European, Western culture and its spiritual values.
What are Russia’s objectives?
Karaganov describes the capture of the Donbass and the conquest of the entire south and east Ukraine as Russia’s minimum war goal. The area remaining under Kiev’s control must be politically neutralized and completely demilitarized, he added.
The Russian leadership, Karaganov said, was faced with an existential choice. If Russia wants to see the development of its “proud and sovereign state” preserved, the current battle for a future “just and stable world order” must be continued.
Incidentally, Ukraine is only a small part of the comprehensive decline of the “world order of global liberal imperialism” imposed worldwide by the US. The world is currently moving towards a much fairer and freer system of multipolarity and diversity of civilizations and cultures. One of the centers of the coming world order would emerge in Eurasia, with Russia in its natural role as the “civilization of civilizations” and northern guarantor of global balance.
In April 2022, in an interview with the Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera, Karaganov had already stated that “war was inevitable, they were a spearhead of NATO. We made the very hard decision to strike first, before the threat became deadlier.” He further said the war in Ukraine “will be used to restructure Russian elite and Russian society. It will become a more militant-based and national-based society, pushing out non-patriotic elements from the elite.”
He also said that “demilitarization means destruction of Ukrainian military forces – that is happening and will accelerate. Of course, if Ukraine is supported with new weapons, that could prolong the agony. … The war will be victorious, in one way or another. I assume demilitarization will be achieved and there will be denazification, too. Like we did in Germany and in Chechnya. Ukrainians will become much more peaceful and friendly to us”.
Who is Karaganov?
Sergei Karaganov is considered as one of Russia’s foreign and security policy pioneers. He has long been known for his provocative and polarizing statements. For more than two decades, Karaganov was an influential adviser to Russian Presidents Yeltsin and Putin. He was co-founder and honorary chairman of Russia’s oldest NGO, the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy (CFDP), as well as the important foreign policy journal Russia in Global Affairs.
The scientific director of the faculty for world economy and international relations at the renowned Russian university Higher School of Economics also sees himself as the spiritual father of Russia’s orientation towards the Asia-Pacific region.
All rights reserved. You have permission to quote freely from the articles provided that the source (www.freewestmedia.com) is given. Photos may not be used without our consent.
Consider donating to support our work
Help us to produce more articles like this. FreeWestMedia is depending on donations from our readers to keep going. With your help, we expose the mainstream fake news agenda.
Keep your language polite. Readers from many different countries visit and contribute to Free West Media and we must therefore obey the rules in, for example, Germany. Illegal content will be deleted.
If you have been approved to post comments without preview from FWM, you are responsible for violations of any law. This means that FWM may be forced to cooperate with authorities in a possible crime investigation.
If your comments are subject to preview by FWM, please be patient. We continually review comments but depending on the time of day it can take up to several hours before your comment is reviewed.
We reserve the right to delete comments that are offensive, contain slander or foul language, or are irrelevant to the discussion.
Care prompts bishops to criticize transgender ideology
The Catholic bishops of the Scandinavian countries presented an open five-page letter criticizing transgender ideology on March 21, just before Easter. The document primarily expresses care and advice and was read aloud in Catholic churches in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, and Iceland. Cardinal Anders Arborelius, Bishop of Stockholm, is one of the signatories of the document.
Brits Forced to Live in Darkness and Cold
Food prices are rising at a furious pace, fastest in Scotland in almost half a century. At the same time, energy prices are at record highs. People are forced to choose between freezing or going hungry, and a majority of Scots are forced to live in cold and darkness to cope with bills. Old generations' tricks for saving and keeping warm are returning. Nevertheless, it is feared that 10,000 Brits will die of cold homes this winter. We present the Swedish Public Health Agency's guidelines on indoor temperature. Governments in Europe are introducing rationing and monitoring of food purchases. Net-zero emissions are a lie that, in practice, de-industrializes the West and dramatically lowers our standard of living.
Thousands of Flemish farmers block roads in Brussels against nitrogen policy
BrusselsMore than 2500 farmers from Belgium's Dutch-speaking Flanders region gathered at Brussels' central Arts-Loi street and blocked roads with tractors toward Brussels to protest the regional government's plan to limit nitrogen emissions.
Orban: EU energy sanctions costing citizens billions
BudapestHungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has warned that some western states could soon send troops to Ukraine. He also criticized the fact that the EU sanctions against Russia had cost Hungarian taxpayers tens of billions of euros.
Italy: New leader of the Social Democrats is one of Soros’ ‘preferred politicians’
RomeDuring the election campaign, Elly Schlein presented herself as the standard-bearer of the poorest. However, her background and previous work raise doubts about her honesty.
UK greenhouses shut down due to high energy costs
LondonIn Great Britain, a particularly depressing facet of the crisis is now showing its first contours - and thus anticipating what is likely to happen in other European countries in the near future: because of the exploding energy prices, agriculture is being strangled and fresh produce has to be rationed.
Lisbon opens borders to all Portuguese speakers
LisbonNot only the German and Italian governments keep opening new paths for immigration. Portugal, too, has opened a Pandora's box and is paving the way for possibly millions of non-European immigrants to the EU – something which is not mentioned by the mainstream media.
Illegal immigration to Italy has reached its highest level ever
RomeIn Italy, despite the overwhelming right-wing electoral success in September, there is still nothing to be seen of the promised asylum turnaround – on the contrary. Giorgia Meloni has been in office for five months, but the arrivals of migrants in Italy have doubled compared to the previous year.
Dismantling diplomacy with ‘feminist foreign policy’
BudapestGerman Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock (Greens) wants to counter German security issues abroad with feminist politics. Gender training, LGBTQ events and quotas are now part of their new guidelines, which are intended to bring about "cultural change". The German ambassador to Hungary, Julia Gross, provided an embarrassing example.
Germans demand investigation of Nord Stream sabotage
BerlinAfter the sensational revelations by US investigative reporter Seymour Hersh about the perpetrators of the Nord Stream attacks on September 26, 2022, the German government has remained silent. It does not want to comment on Hersh's research results, according to which the pipelines were blown up by Americans and Norwegians.